Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol - Risk factor modelling of the spatio-temporal patterns of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAIV) H5N1: a review.

Tópicos

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Resumo

Highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 continues to impact on smallholder livelihoods, to constrain development of the poultry production sector, and to cause occasional human fatalities. HPAI H5N1 outbreaks have occurred in a variety of ecological systems with economic, agricultural and environmental differences. This review aimed to identify common risk factors amongst spatial modelling studies conducted in these different agro-ecological systems, and to identify gaps in our understanding of the disease's spatial epidemiology. Three types of variables with similar statistical association with HPAI H5N1 presence across studies and regions were identified: domestic waterfowl, several anthropogenic variables (human population density, distance to roads) and indicators of water presence. Variables on socio-economic conditions, poultry trade, wild bird distribution and movements were comparatively rarely considered. Few studies have analysed the HPAI H5N1 distribution in countries such as Egypt and Indonesia, where HPAIV H5N1 continues to circulate extensively.

Resumo Limpo

high pathogen avian influenza virus hpaiv hn continu impact smallhold livelihood constrain develop poultri product sector caus occasion human fatal hpai hn outbreak occur varieti ecolog system econom agricultur environment differ review aim identifi common risk factor amongst spatial model studi conduct differ agroecolog system identifi gap understand diseas spatial epidemiolog three type variabl similar statist associ hpai hn presenc across studi region identifi domest waterfowl sever anthropogen variabl human popul densiti distanc road indic water presenc variabl socioeconom condit poultri trade wild bird distribut movement compar rare consid studi analys hpai hn distribut countri egypt indonesia hpaiv hn continu circul extens

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