IEEE Trans Neural Netw Learn Syst - Incorporating Wind Power Forecast Uncertainties Into Stochastic Unit Commitment Using Neural Network-Based Prediction Intervals.

Tópicos

{ model(3404) distribut(989) bayesian(671) }
{ control(1307) perform(991) simul(935) }
{ signal(2180) analysi(812) frequenc(800) }
{ patient(2837) hospit(1953) medic(668) }
{ network(2748) neural(1063) input(814) }
{ use(1733) differ(960) four(931) }
{ system(1976) rule(880) can(841) }
{ take(945) account(800) differ(722) }
{ error(1145) method(1030) estim(1020) }
{ result(1111) use(1088) new(759) }
{ bind(1733) structur(1185) ligand(1036) }
{ motion(1329) object(1292) video(1091) }
{ problem(2511) optim(1539) algorithm(950) }
{ monitor(1329) mobil(1314) devic(1160) }
{ ehr(2073) health(1662) electron(1139) }
{ cost(1906) reduc(1198) effect(832) }
{ sampl(1606) size(1419) use(1276) }
{ gene(2352) biolog(1181) express(1162) }
{ time(1939) patient(1703) rate(768) }
{ can(981) present(881) function(850) }
{ activ(1452) weight(1219) physic(1104) }
{ can(774) often(719) complex(702) }
{ imag(1947) propos(1133) code(1026) }
{ measur(2081) correl(1212) valu(896) }
{ method(1219) similar(1157) match(930) }
{ assess(1506) score(1403) qualiti(1306) }
{ chang(1828) time(1643) increas(1301) }
{ learn(2355) train(1041) set(1003) }
{ method(1557) propos(1049) approach(1037) }
{ studi(1410) differ(1259) use(1210) }
{ risk(3053) factor(974) diseas(938) }
{ perform(999) metric(946) measur(919) }
{ perform(1367) use(1326) method(1137) }
{ data(3008) multipl(1320) sourc(1022) }
{ structur(1116) can(940) graph(676) }
{ use(976) code(926) identifi(902) }
{ data(1737) use(1416) pattern(1282) }
{ inform(2794) health(2639) internet(1427) }
{ imag(1057) registr(996) error(939) }
{ sequenc(1873) structur(1644) protein(1328) }
{ featur(3375) classif(2383) classifi(1994) }
{ imag(2830) propos(1344) filter(1198) }
{ imag(2675) segment(2577) method(1081) }
{ patient(2315) diseas(1263) diabet(1191) }
{ studi(2440) review(1878) systemat(933) }
{ treatment(1704) effect(941) patient(846) }
{ surgeri(1148) surgic(1085) robot(1054) }
{ framework(1458) process(801) describ(734) }
{ concept(1167) ontolog(924) domain(897) }
{ clinic(1479) use(1117) guidelin(835) }
{ algorithm(1844) comput(1787) effici(935) }
{ extract(1171) text(1153) clinic(932) }
{ data(1714) softwar(1251) tool(1186) }
{ design(1359) user(1324) use(1319) }
{ model(2220) cell(1177) simul(1124) }
{ care(1570) inform(1187) nurs(1089) }
{ general(901) number(790) one(736) }
{ method(984) reconstruct(947) comput(926) }
{ search(2224) databas(1162) retriev(909) }
{ featur(1941) imag(1645) propos(1176) }
{ case(1353) use(1143) diagnosi(1136) }
{ howev(809) still(633) remain(590) }
{ data(3963) clinic(1234) research(1004) }
{ research(1085) discuss(1038) issu(1018) }
{ system(1050) medic(1026) inform(1018) }
{ import(1318) role(1303) understand(862) }
{ model(2341) predict(2261) use(1141) }
{ visual(1396) interact(850) tool(830) }
{ compound(1573) activ(1297) structur(1058) }
{ studi(1119) effect(1106) posit(819) }
{ blood(1257) pressur(1144) flow(957) }
{ spatial(1525) area(1432) region(1030) }
{ record(1888) medic(1808) patient(1693) }
{ health(3367) inform(1360) care(1135) }
{ model(3480) simul(1196) paramet(876) }
{ state(1844) use(1261) util(961) }
{ research(1218) medic(880) student(794) }
{ model(2656) set(1616) predict(1553) }
{ data(2317) use(1299) case(1017) }
{ age(1611) year(1155) adult(843) }
{ medic(1828) order(1363) alert(1069) }
{ group(2977) signific(1463) compar(1072) }
{ first(2504) two(1366) second(1323) }
{ intervent(3218) particip(2042) group(1664) }
{ activ(1138) subject(705) human(624) }
{ patient(1821) servic(1111) care(1106) }
{ use(2086) technolog(871) perceiv(783) }
{ analysi(2126) use(1163) compon(1037) }
{ health(1844) social(1437) communiti(874) }
{ high(1669) rate(1365) level(1280) }
{ cancer(2502) breast(956) screen(824) }
{ drug(1928) target(777) effect(648) }
{ implement(1333) system(1263) develop(1122) }
{ survey(1388) particip(1329) question(1065) }
{ estim(2440) model(1874) function(577) }
{ decis(3086) make(1611) patient(1517) }
{ process(1125) use(805) approach(778) }
{ method(1969) cluster(1462) data(1082) }
{ method(2212) result(1239) propos(1039) }
{ detect(2391) sensit(1101) algorithm(908) }

Resumo

Penetration of renewable energy resources, such as wind and solar power, into power systems significantly increases the uncertainties on system operation, stability, and reliability in smart grids. In this paper, the nonparametric neural network-based prediction intervals (PIs) are implemented for forecast uncertainty quantification. Instead of a single level PI, wind power forecast uncertainties are represented in a list of PIs. These PIs are then decomposed into quantiles of wind power. A new scenario generation method is proposed to handle wind power forecast uncertainties. For each hour, an empirical cumulative distribution function (ECDF) is fitted to these quantile points. The Monte Carlo simulation method is used to generate scenarios from the ECDF. Then the wind power scenarios are incorporated into a stochastic security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC) model. The heuristic genetic algorithm is utilized to solve the stochastic SCUC problem. Five deterministic and four stochastic case studies incorporated with interval forecasts of wind power are implemented. The results of these cases are presented and discussed together. Generation costs, and the scheduled and real-time economic dispatch reserves of different unit commitment strategies are compared. The experimental results show that the stochastic model is more robust than deterministic ones and, thus, decreases the risk in system operations of smart grids.

Resumo Limpo

penetr renew energi resourc wind solar power power system signific increas uncertainti system oper stabil reliabl smart grid paper nonparametr neural networkbas predict interv pis implement forecast uncertainti quantif instead singl level pi wind power forecast uncertainti repres list pis pis decompos quantil wind power new scenario generat method propos handl wind power forecast uncertainti hour empir cumul distribut function ecdf fit quantil point mont carlo simul method use generat scenario ecdf wind power scenario incorpor stochast securityconstrain unit commit scuc model heurist genet algorithm util solv stochast scuc problem five determinist four stochast case studi incorpor interv forecast wind power implement result case present discuss togeth generat cost schedul realtim econom dispatch reserv differ unit commit strategi compar experiment result show stochast model robust determinist one thus decreas risk system oper smart grid

Resumos Similares

Neural Comput - A semiparametric Bayesian model for detecting synchrony among multiple neurons. ( 0,732482107195535 )
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol - Goodness-of-fit measures for individual-level models of infectious disease in a Bayesian framework. ( 0,726337448559671 )
Res Synth Methods - A Bayesian nonparametric meta-analysis model. ( 0,706973150498179 )
Comput Math Methods Med - A general framework for modeling sub- and ultraharmonics of ultrasound contrast agent signals with MISO volterra series. ( 0,702794312563568 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Bayesian robust principal component analysis. ( 0,69731834609304 )
Comput Math Methods Med - Inference for ecological dynamical systems: a case study of two endemic diseases. ( 0,695009526949941 )
Med Decis Making - An agent-based simulation model for Clostridium difficile infection control. ( 0,686438975482418 )
Neural Comput - Attention as reward-driven optimization of sensory processing. ( 0,681830107878017 )
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol - Bayesian hierarchical modeling of the dynamics of spatio-temporal influenza season outbreaks. ( 0,680413817439772 )
AMIA Annu Symp Proc - Testing the calibration of classification models from first principles. ( 0,680105608675796 )
IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell - Modeling Natural Images Using Gated MRFs. ( 0,675737378399486 )
Neural Comput - The neural representation of time: an information-theoretic perspective. ( 0,673331402231759 )
Artif Intell Med - On the interplay of machine learning and background knowledge in image interpretation by Bayesian networks. ( 0,668749959937437 )
IEEE Trans Neural Netw Learn Syst - Variational Bayesian Inference Algorithms for Infinite Relational Model of Network Data. ( 0,667827041566685 )
IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell - Are Gibbs-Type Priors the Most Natural Generalization of the Dirichlet Process? ( 0,667527950669713 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Variational Bayesian method for Retinex. ( 0,66717922945739 )
Lifetime Data Anal - Bayesian semiparametric modeling for stochastic precedence, with applications in epidemiology and survival analysis. ( 0,663237497645203 )
Med Decis Making - Calibration of complex models through Bayesian evidence synthesis: a demonstration and tutorial. ( 0,656461501383757 )
Lifetime Data Anal - Bayesian nonparametric models for ranked set sampling. ( 0,655169370690356 )
IEEE J Biomed Health Inform - Sparsity-inspired nonparametric probability characterization for radio propagation in body area networks. ( 0,654948666646389 )
Comput Methods Programs Biomed - Identification of an integrated mathematical model of standard oral glucose tolerance test for characterization of insulin potentiation in health. ( 0,652118855412068 )
Brief. Bioinformatics - CaliBayes and BASIS: integrated tools for the calibration, simulation and storage of biological simulation models. ( 0,651531331764645 )
Res Synth Methods - A basic introduction to fixed-effect and random-effects models for meta-analysis. ( 0,64995557096191 )
J. Comput. Biol. - Computational methods for a class of network models. ( 0,649011011736524 )
J. Comput. Biol. - A spatial haplotype copying model with applications to genotype imputation. ( 0,648003378061918 )
Comput Math Methods Med - Bayesian inference of the Weibull model based on interval-censored survival data. ( 0,647222972100028 )
Lifetime Data Anal - Bayesian local influence for survival models. ( 0,645851147756115 )
Brief. Bioinformatics - The dilemma of choosing the ideal permutation strategy while estimating statistical significance of genome-wide enrichment. ( 0,642866884467746 )
Neural Comput - A finite-sample, distribution-free, probabilistic lower bound on mutual information. ( 0,641623652681938 )
Res Synth Methods - Critical interpretation of Cochran's Q test depends on power and prior assumptions about heterogeneity. ( 0,640414181950199 )
J. Comput. Biol. - Characterizing the empirical distribution of prokaryotic genome n-mers in the presence of nullomers. ( 0,639509462505696 )
Med Decis Making - Assessing uncertainties surrounding combined endpoints for use in economic models. ( 0,639388387627273 )
Med Decis Making - Not simply more of the same: distinguishing between patient heterogeneity and parameter uncertainty. ( 0,639186267014825 )
Comput Math Methods Med - Bayesian hierarchical modeling for categorical longitudinal data from sedation measurements. ( 0,638355844697116 )
Neural Comput - Estimation of time-dependent input from neuronal membrane potential. ( 0,633911205142042 )
Neural Comput - Efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for decoding neural spike trains. ( 0,632339994399765 )
Res Synth Methods - Bayesian model selection for meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy data: Application to Ddimer for deep vein thrombosis. ( 0,630760657007363 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - A Bayesian framework for image segmentation with spatially varying mixtures. ( 0,627791921985332 )
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol - Inference from ecological models: estimating the relative risk of stroke from air pollution exposure using small area data. ( 0,626181229956559 )
Neural Comput - Universal approximation depth and errors of narrow belief networks with discrete units. ( 0,622255290126597 )
Med Decis Making - Bayesian calibration of a natural history model with application to a population model for colorectal cancer. ( 0,621554209543072 )
J. Comput. Biol. - Expectation-maximization algorithm for determining natural selection of Y-linked genes through two-sex branching processes. ( 0,621388509904494 )
IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell - Temporal Analysis of Motif Mixtures using Dirichlet Processes. ( 0,620496595994713 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Wavelet variance analysis for random fields on a regular lattice. ( 0,620263995451346 )
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol - A Bayesian space-time model for discrete spread processes on a lattice. ( 0,619341761667991 )
J. Comput. Biol. - On the inference of dirichlet mixture priors for protein sequence comparison. ( 0,618531609829382 )
AMIA Annu Symp Proc - Learning to predict post-hospitalization VTE risk from EHR data. ( 0,617274628299473 )
J Integr Bioinform - Analyzing phylogenetic trees with timed and probabilistic model checking: the lactose persistence case study. ( 0,61690852781206 )
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak - Decision support for hospital bed management using adaptable individual length of stay estimations and shared resources. ( 0,616510648072743 )
Neural Comput - Adaptive decoding for brain-machine interfaces through Bayesian parameter updates. ( 0,615953561050741 )
Res Synth Methods - Random-effects meta-analysis of time-to-event data using the expectation-maximisation algorithm and shrinkage estimators. ( 0,614760658735395 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Bayesian inference of models and hyperparameters for robust optical-flow estimation. ( 0,613524344988117 )
IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell - Negative Binomial Process Count and Mixture Modeling. ( 0,61314236732608 )
IEEE Trans Vis Comput Graph - The Perception of Visual Uncertainty Representation by Non-Experts. ( 0,611910940956841 )
Comput Methods Programs Biomed - The exponentiated exponential mixture and non-mixture cure rate model in the presence of covariates. ( 0,611679597262722 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Computationally tractable stochastic image modeling based on symmetric Markov mesh random fields. ( 0,609427635336005 )
Neural Comput - Efficient sensory encoding and Bayesian inference with heterogeneous neural populations. ( 0,607157164557859 )
Neural Comput - Learning coefficient of generalization error in Bayesian estimation and vandermonde matrix-type singularity. ( 0,605656972131353 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Studentized dynamical system for robust object tracking. ( 0,604786715245088 )
Comput Math Methods Med - Clinical outcome prediction in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage using Bayesian neural networks with fuzzy logic inferences. ( 0,603201245269833 )
Comput. Biol. Med. - Expectation-maximization technique for fibro-glandular discs detection in mammography images. ( 0,602200080687201 )
Med Biol Eng Comput - A poisson process model for hip fracture risk. ( 0,602059710586441 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Statistical modeling of 3-D natural scenes with application to Bayesian stereopsis. ( 0,602046474375462 )
Med Decis Making - Identifying best-fitting inputs in health-economic model calibration: a Pareto frontier approach. ( 0,601994703192308 )
Comput Methods Programs Biomed - Multivariate Bayesian modeling of known and unknown causes of events--an application to biosurveillance. ( 0,601111456760341 )
Neural Comput - Bayesian community detection. ( 0,599068923357703 )
Comput Math Methods Med - An empirical Bayes optimal discovery procedure based on semiparametric hierarchical mixture models. ( 0,598327023232538 )
Neural Comput - Determination and the no-free-lunch paradox. ( 0,598055928503853 )
J Biomed Inform - Learning patient-specific predictive models from clinical data. ( 0,59793941532586 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Blind image quality assessment: a natural scene statistics approach in the DCT domain. ( 0,597669777122511 )
IEEE Trans Neural Netw Learn Syst - Robust Novelty Detection via Worst Case CVaR Minimization. ( 0,597316152479528 )
Comput Math Methods Med - Cross time-frequency analysis for combining information of several sources: application to estimation of spontaneous respiratory rate from photoplethysmography. ( 0,596409007061181 )
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol - The detection of spatially localised outbreaks in campylobacteriosis notification data. ( 0,59561110177941 )
Med Decis Making - A framework for addressing structural uncertainty in decision models. ( 0,595557304994603 )
Comput Methods Programs Biomed - A Bayesian multilevel model for fMRI data analysis. ( 0,59143405269153 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Probabilistic image modeling with an extended chain graph for human activity recognition and image segmentation. ( 0,591017011352077 )
Artif Intell Med - Clinical time series prediction: Toward a hierarchical dynamical system framework. ( 0,589820876110984 )
Neural Comput - Multiple tests based on a gaussian approximation of the unitary events method with delayed coincidence count. ( 0,58972762195031 )
Neural Comput - Learning quadratic receptive fields from neural responses to natural stimuli. ( 0,586211193829691 )
IEEE Trans Vis Comput Graph - Shape: A 3D Modeling Tool for Astrophysics. ( 0,584967781292498 )
J Clin Monit Comput - Automation of anaesthesia: a review on multivariable control. ( 0,583730023847275 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Blind separation of time/position varying mixtures. ( 0,583480885880713 )
Appl Clin Inform - Acute diarrheal syndromic surveillance: effects of weather and holidays. ( 0,582916467187331 )
Comput Methods Programs Biomed - NIMROD: a program for inference via a normal approximation of the posterior in models with random effects based on ordinary differential equations. ( 0,582673781156265 )
Lifetime Data Anal - A competing risks approach for nonparametric estimation of transition probabilities in a non-Markov illness-death model. ( 0,58192860291559 )
Neural Comput - Bayesian sparse partial least squares. ( 0,581753805342899 )
Artif Intell Med - Improving Bayesian credibility intervals for classifier error rates using maximum entropy empirical priors. ( 0,579891985256037 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Cross-camera knowledge transfer for multiview people counting. ( 0,579420460083694 )
Med Decis Making - Accounting for methodological, structural, and parameter uncertainty in decision-analytic models: a practical guide. ( 0,57931137216781 )
Comput Math Methods Med - Immune response to a variable pathogen: a stochastic model with two interlocked Darwinian entities. ( 0,579247517575778 )
Comput. Biol. Med. - Towards automatic detection of atrial fibrillation: A hybrid computational approach. ( 0,577831084881172 )
J Biomed Inform - Link-topic model for biomedical abbreviation disambiguation. ( 0,576856510245768 )
IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell - Gaussian Process-Mixture Conditional Heteroscedasticity. ( 0,576562781684083 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - Generative Bayesian image super resolution with natural image prior. ( 0,575383781335702 )
Comput Math Methods Med - A generalized gamma mixture model for ultrasonic tissue characterization. ( 0,574881107214989 )
IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell - Articulated Human Detection with Flexible Mixtures-of-Parts. ( 0,57267457260843 )
Methods Inf Med - Optimal two-stage designs for single-arm phase II oncology trials with two binary endpoints. ( 0,571994652166836 )
IEEE Trans Image Process - A study of multiplicative watermark detection in the contourlet domain using alpha-stable distributions. ( 0,570327934107248 )
Comput. Biol. Med. - Formal specification and analysis of intelligent agents for model-based medicine usage management. ( 0,568321789414228 )
Artif Intell Med - Impact of precision of Bayesian network parameters on accuracy of medical diagnostic systems. ( 0,565144699208194 )